… So I do believe a few of them. But very few, and always with a healthy amount of cynicism. What I NEVER believe is the timing implied in the news releases—this brand new technology supposedly will give us this or that advance “soon.”
Here is why I think you should keep a healthy amount of cynicism. The example of such a new technology is Raman spectroscopy, which promises, potentially, noninvasive glucose measurement. I had to mention it because I actually recently posted something about it: Non-invasive glucose monitoring from MIT
I heard about it first in 2015 (the year my son was diagnosed as a T1). But it had been in the news since at least 1997:
Over the next few years, “good news” news kept on coming (there were many more, I am only including a few):
- 1999, still potential: Feasibility of measuring blood glucose concentration by near-infrared Raman spectroscopy - ScienceDirect
- 2001: now proven, but nothing experimental yet Analysis of Near-infrared Raman Spectroscopy as a New Technique for a Transcutaneous Non-invasive Diagnosis of Blood Components | Lasers in Medical Science
- 2003 now proven (again)Detection and analysis of glucose at metabolic concentration using Raman spectroscopy | IEEE Conference Publication | IEEE Xplore
- 2004: preliminary study A Noninvasive Glucose Monitor: Preliminary Results in Rabbits | Diabetes Technology & Therapeutics
- 2005: the real thing is proven and coming! Raman spectroscopy for noninvasive glucose measurements
- 2005: first (?) successful study Raman spectroscopy for noninvasive glucose measurements - PubMed
- 2011: an actual device A novel non-imaging optics based Raman spectroscopy device for transdermal blood analyte measurement | AIP Advances | AIP Publishing
- 2012: in summary reviews Full article: Recent advances in noninvasive glucose monitoring
- 2016: miniaturization prospects Non-invasive blood glucose monitoring with Raman spectroscopy: prospects for device miniaturization - IOPscience
- 2017: now it is fast Noninvasive and fast measurement of blood glucose in vivo by near infrared (NIR) spectroscopy - ScienceDirect
- 2020: this clinical trial starts Study Details | NCT03519841 | Performance Study of a Non-invasive Glucose Monitoring Device Prototype | ClinicalTrials.gov
- 2020: this study detects peaks Direct observation of glucose fingerprint using in vivo Raman spectroscopy | Science Advances
- 2021: now it is very selective Very Selective Detection of Low Physiopathological Glucose Levels by Spontaneous Raman Spectroscopy with Univariate Data Analysis | BioNanoScience
- 2025 device with faster calibration (over two days) Calibration and performance of a Raman-based device for non-invasive glucose monitoring in type 2 diabetes | Scientific Reports
The $1,000 question is—after 28 years of technology development, when, if ever, will an actual Raman spectroscopy portable CGM device appear on the market?
I don’t mean to say it will never happen. What I do think, though, is that 99% of what we read is hype. As someone who has worked in technology development for 30+ years, I know it takes a very long time to take a technology from lab to market. So we are better off assuming nothing until we see something on the market.
All the more important for us all to support We Are Not Waiting initiatives of all kinds. We cannot expect much from the regulated world or from the medical device industry—we can count much more on our community.