I hear what you are saying, and I am ready to believe. But the risk if I am wrong is high. I think it is quite possible that K may react like @cardamom, and require more adjustments that will be a pain in the neck: right now, with our management difficulties, we can’t really deal with more nights up because of 24-hour-long sustained lows, if that ever were to happen. Again, 6 weeks ago his basal was stable at night at 0.55/hr, and last night it was nice and stable also but at 1.1U/hr, exactly double, yet he is not sick (he can do >1.5U/hr when sick). I can’t help doubting that Tresiba can deal with such extremes! I have no idea why his basal is running so high right now, I just know it is because anything lower sends him into stacked injection after injection. Yet he could very well be back around 0.75U/hr tomorrow or the day after.
It is possible that my son has unusually variable basal. Overall, I think it is a more conservative play for us to try Afrezza first because the downside of Afrezza not working is pretty much naught We have enough trouble as it is that adding another risk factor is too much for us right now.